• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1288

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Saturday, June 14, 2025 20:54:28
    ACUS11 KWNS 142054
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 142053=20
    SCZ000-GAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-142300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1288
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0353 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025

    Areas affected...Northeast Alabama into North Georgia

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 142053Z - 142300Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...Locally damaging winds may occur with marginally organized
    bands of convection. Storms are expected to weaken around sunset.

    DISCUSSION...A belt of modestly stronger mid-level winds is evident
    on regional VAD data near a weakening trough in the mid Ohio Valley.
    With strong daytime heating of a moist (low 70s F dewpoints)
    airmass, around 2000 J/kg MLCAPE has developed this afternoon. A few
    clusters of storms have become marginally organized this afternoon.
    A recent observed gust of 44 kts at the Rome, GA ASOS suggests near-severe/potentially damaging gusts are possible with this
    activity. As daytime heating wanes, storms should gradually decrease
    in intensity by sunset.

    ..Wendt/Thompson.. 06/14/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5QXvzMjUln6zG6GBlM6aR1A2VXLjIOBoQMJR8ydhtIU2mOur-wpd5gxT077zzdbm1OvK2CvrS= jQ3l5qft2L7V3Fw28A$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN...

    LAT...LON 33648666 34968493 35208395 34978306 34208288 33858280
    33618306 33438359 33458467 33408525 33378607 33648666=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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