ACUS11 KWNS 131825
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 131824=20
ALZ000-MSZ000-132030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1272
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0124 PM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

Areas affected...Southwestern and central Alabama...and southeastern Mississippi

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 131824Z - 132030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Locally damaging wind gusts could accompany clusters of
thunderstorms and brief line segments through this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm coverage is increasing across portions of southwestern and central AL this afternoon. This convection is in an environment characterized by moderate instability and overall
relatively weak deep layer effective shear ahead of a shortwave
trough progressing eastward across LA. Some strengthening mid-level
flow through late this afternoon should support increasing
opportunities for thunderstorm organization and the potential for
bowing line segments. In addition, (BMX) PWATs near the 90th percentile/precipitation loading may also aid in localized damaging
wind potential, especially with any of the more robust, merging
clusters. A severe weather watch is not anticipated at this time,
though, given the localized nature of the threat and a lack of
significant deep layer effective shear expected through most of the
afternoon.

..Barnes/Thompson.. 06/13/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!75cwIVO59ugEsYNrSRmB_7uTYu0O2t0SsGb9B9ZTHz2LLmgRZx44l9x3OXrrEbT7dg1QCB5WN= VHxyAo2hvdjG82XrRk$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON 30528898 30568907 30658909 30868904 31098918 31398905
31688902 31878904 32118899 32528888 33028854 33328827
33718764 33688724 33478681 33318655 32878664 32648686
32248724 31808766 31398794 31018840 30708874 30488895
30528898=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)