ACUS11 KWNS 091859
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 091858=20
ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-092030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1226
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 PM CDT Mon Jun 09 2025

Areas affected...northern MS/AL

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 091858Z - 092030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms may occasionally produce strong
wind gusts through the afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have developed across northern MS ahead
of a surface front. Filtered heating and dewpoints in the low 70s is
supporting moderate instability. Downstream into northern AL,
instability remains somewhat suppressed on the norther side of an
MCV from overnight/morning convection that is now centered over
central AL. While modest vertical shear is present across the
region, overall modest instability and weaker low to mid-level lapse
rates should generally limit a greater severe risk. Nevertheless,
occasional strong gusts will be possible, especially if any
clustering/updraft consolidation occurs. A watch is not currently
expected, though trends will continue to be monitored.

..Leitman/Mosier.. 06/09/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7xe4p67Pxvy2qYzvSDNQYocBVDfb8flj-QWi-3W1jhD7o8Vm6ZVRopDHLOZvyuwr58ZOwHwrT= WR-qVnuaEup3E1MRag$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

LAT...LON 35028951 35058599 34508554 33788588 33648791 33818940
34059007 34519013 34749007 35028951=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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